Jim Cramer recently admitted as much in an interview by Aaron Task.

GOLD is currently undergoing "probable" distribution. Bullion, the GOLD ETFs, and all major GOLD Stocks have turned their Monthly trends down.

But we see that Gold is approaching it’s old Monthly Top. The Financial press, and the Gold sites are currently predicting a new high for Gold.

Gold made it’s Monthly bottom on 8/1999 at $252/oz. Gold has been in a Bull Market since April of 2002, when it closed above $308/oz.

It’s not really surprising that it has "finally" turned the trend down. But there was no "big" buy Gold message in the media in April of 2002. The "smart" money needed the "talking heads" to shut up when they were buying!

Actually, the Gold charts look very much like the famous ‘The safest place to sell short" that WD. Gann recommended.

A simple enough process, as the "talking heads" only know what is given to them by the news services. That is the only thing approved for them to "parrot"

" Advertisements contain the only truths to be relied on in a newspaper".

"I do not take a single newspaper, nor read one a month, and I feel myself infinitely the happier for it. "

And best Jefferson quote on newspapers

"The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers."

Levittown NY is where this story starts: http://www.historynet.com/levittown-the-archetype-for-suburban-development.htm

Government taxes do not create wealth. A recent article about the decline of Boeing by Eamonn Fingleton correctly explained the economic contribution of manufacturing.

In my book In Praise of Hard Industries, I calculated that per unit of output American manufacturing businesses export about eleven times as much as service businesses.

Few manufacturing businesses score better on these three criteria than the airliner industry. Even if it were not so closely intertwined with America's national defense, the industry would still be of pivotal geopolitical importance. The point is that it has long been America's biggest export earner. Unfortunately, America's imports of aircraft and aircraft parts now equal 45 percent of its exports, up from just 5 percent in the 1960s."

Eamonn Fingleton revealed what is wrong with the economic model of the Suburban service worker. It fails to meet the possibility of wealth creation that is provided by the manufacturing sector..

We must accept that it was already "generally known" that Americans had a propensity to form groups. This was clearly documented in 1864 by Alexis de Toqueville.

"Americans of all ages, all stations of life, and all types of disposition are forever forming associations...In democratic countries knowledge of how to combine is the mother of all other forms of knowledge; on its progress depends that of all the others." Alexis de Tocqueville

THE ORGANIZATION MAN, by William H. Whyte

(New York: Doubleday, 1956)

Another event which helped create Suburbia as the model for a "new" America (The American Dream) occurred on July 17 1955. This was the opening of Disneyland.

"How this need affects the workplace: People who have a need for Acceptance are a valuable addition to any group. They will often be a stabilizing presence and help others tolerate each other a little better. They may "go along" to whatever proposals are made to avoid any conflict in a group. It is very hard for them to express any different opinion because of their fear of being rejected."

Emboldened by the Television’s ability to literally create the "picture" in your mind, the Government planners began creating the most "ambitious" population programming attempt in all history.

By 1964, Marshall McLuhan wrote the classic book "Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man, published in 1964. McLuhan understood the power of this new Meme/Myth generating mechanism.

Edward Bernays had already proved that he could convince Americans to accept almost anything as a belief system. Edward Bernays made no secret of his ability to control/influence group behavior.

http://www.prwatch.org/prwissues/1999Q2/bernays.htm

http://www.jrbooksonline.com/PDF_Books/propaganda_bernays.pdf

The final piece of the puzzle was created by the profession that Edward Bernays uncle, Sigismund Schlomo Freud, help create. Psychiatry got together with "BIG PHARMA" sometime in 1969 with the specific intention of achieving "total mind control". This was to be achieved by addicting the entire population to Mind Controlling Drugs.

The coming movie "MAKING A KILLING", explains how well their little scheme has worked. And the Suburbs were the perfect environment for it’s implementation.

But now the rest of the Western world is producing it’s own goods, and China and India are joining the new game of production. Furthermore, the USA is now the largest debtor in the world.

So the real problem becomes one of redesigning the US to fit into this reality. And the Suburbs no longer contribute to the equation. Hence, they must be altered severely over time.

That’s where your so-called "abundance" came from. You ate your "seed corn". And now you will pay dearly for your consumption orgies. And you did voluntarily elect the Pied Pipers of Politics that led you down the steps to Economic Hell.

Peter Drucker did tell you that today’s profits are tomorrow's expenses, but who was listening? You were too busy planning your new cars, your bigger houses, and the weekends parties.

So now the Boomers have become the Busted. Suburbia was the command center of the Consumption Mantra. And now that Mantra is over. The Temple of Consumption (The Shopping Mall) is now an endangered species.http://www.financialsense.com/editorials/quinn/2009/0120.html

http://dispatch.com/live/content/business/stories/2009/01/18/malls_econ.ART_ART_01-18-09_D1_0LCIHJU.html?sid=101

One of the main attraction of malls, and shopping centers is STARBUCKS. Could Starbucks current problems be a leading indicator for the "Things To Come" in Suburbia?

We only need to look at Scripture for counsel at this time.

6 a time to get, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to cast away;

Ecclesiastes 3.

Wayne N. Krautkramerhttp://onlypill.tripod.com/

THE "DOW THEORY" CON! PART 2 presented some of the insights about the Stock Market that Charles Henry Dow gave to his readers.

The most damning piece of evidence that the "Dow Theorists" have hidden from you comes from the "premier" source for the history of Charles Henry Dow, and the Dow Jones & Company, John Prestbo.

Alfred Cowles did a famous study in 1932. This Landmark study asked the question "Can Stock Markets forecasters forecast?".

The article, "THE DOW THEORY: WILLIAM PETER HAMILTON’S TRACK RECORD RECONSIDERED" failed to accomplish it’s mission!

One must ask how many subjects were used in this research study to find the one subject who answered the semantical Rorschach test properly( provides the right answers to prove the mandatory (prepaid) conclusion). Grant providers demand results for their money!

Hamilton's writings capture his healthy ego. He made no secret that he thought Charles Dow to be far too cautious in his editorials. Hamilton wrote of Dow that;

Wayne N. Krautkramer onlypill@cox.net http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/id40.html

THE "DOW THEORY" CON! SERIES
PART1http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/id36.html

PART2http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/id38.html

PART3http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/id40.html

THE "DOW THEORY" CON! PART 1 presented the professional history of Charles Henry Dow

Readers, Traders, Investors, lend me your eyes; I write to resurrect Charles Henry Dow, and to bury those who have taken the name of Charles Henry Dow in vain!

"Among history’s interesting ironies is that of the journalist who is famous for his numbers, not his words. Charles Henry Dow, founder and first editor of The Wall Street Journal, invented the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It became the most widely quoted indicator of the US stock market and not just within the United States but around the world. This chapter relates how it became a global icon of equity investing long before it was permitted to be the basis of indexed investment vehicles. " John Prestbo

John Prestbo is editor of the Dow Jones Global Indexes and has responsibility for the development of new indexes for Dow Jones & Company. He is also markets editor of The Wall Street Journal. Since joining the Journal in 1964 as a reporter in the Chicago bureau, Mr. Prestbo has held various positions including, commodity news editor in New York and assistant managing editor and bureau chief in Cleveland. He was appointed vice president/editorial director of Dow Jones Radio 2 in 1981.

He returned to the Journal as markets editor in 1983. He worked on the January 1993 launch of the Dow Jones World Stock Index and in April 1993 became its editor. In July 1996, the World Stock Index group was renamed Dow Jones Indexes. Mr. Prestbo has co-authored numerous books, including News and the Market; Barron’s Guide to Making Investment Decisions and The Wall Street Journal Book of International Investing. In 1999, he edited The Market’s Measure, an Illustrated History of America Told Through the Dow Jones Industrial Average, published by Dow Jones Indexes. Mr. Prestbo received a bachelor’s and master’s degree from Northwestern University.

"Charles Dow is one of Wall Street’s most significant legends for two very significant reasons- he created our financial bible, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), as well as our first market barometer, the Dow Jones Averages. He is also the father of technical analysis. Ironically, Dow went relatively unnoticed for his achievements and died quietly at the age of 51 in his modest Brooklyn apartment in 1902---years before he was credited with revolutionizing the way we now talk about the stock market." The Dow Theory Project

"Dow used his averages to study the markets, and he wrote about his findings in a series of editorials that began in 1899. He found cycles in market behavior, just as he had in the economy. For these observations alone Dow is sometimes identified as the "father" of technical market analysis, which focuses on price movements and trading volume to discern patterns that more or less repeat themselves. But he was equally attentive to "fundamentals" such as dividends and, for railroads, car-loading statistics, which provided insight into the economic and financial trends that the market was reacting to. His writing style was stiff by contemporary standards, but occasionally he transcended the particulars and set down vivid metaphors of how these invisible forces worked. One example comes from the Journal of January 31, 1901:

A person watching the tide coming in and who wishes to know the exact spot which marks the high tide, sets a stick in the sand at the points reached by the incoming waves until the stick reaches a position where the waves do not come up to it, and finally recede enough to show that the tide has turned.

This method holds good in watching and determining the flood tide of the stock market. The average of twenty stocks is the peg which marks the height of the waves. The price-waves, like those of the sea, do not recede at once from the top. The force which moves them checks the inflow gradually and time elapses before it can be told with certainty whether the tide has been seen or not." John Prestbo

"In a series of stunning editorials for the Wall Street Journal at the turn of the century, Dow laid out the foundation of his own theory on the stock market. Among them were:

The method of making money in stocks, according to Dow, was to study basic conditions and exercise enough patience to capture the major movements." Henry To

An investor "who will study values and market conditions, and then exercise enough patience for six men, will be likely to make money in stocks"

"that nobody in the world knew everything-but, that the price movement of the averages did because they represent the aggregate knowledge of all investors"

Dow was the first known observer to note that "the price trend is not saying what the condition of business is today, but what it will be months from now"" Henry To

We can see from the evidence shown above that Charles Dow was the Father of investment market analysis. His observations were irrefutable then, and still are irrefutable.

We are saddened to realize that this keen observer of human nature, and the stock market, was never acknowledged during his lifetime.

We find it reprehensible that so many second raters crawled out from under the rocks after Charles Dow’s death, claiming expertise in Charles Dow’s Theory (he didn’t have a theory).

They then went further, claiming the "Downess" of concepts that they made up.

The most obvious of the deceptions was the creation of the Confirmation of the Averages.

Charles Dow said no such thing!

The myth of the Confirmation of the Averages rule was created by William P. Hamilton.

Even stranger is the fact that "although Hamilton did more any other one person to legitimize it, he apparently did not coin the phrase "Dow Theory" to summarize Dow’s collective market observations and analysis. For that matter neither did Dow, who made no claims to advancing a "theory" of market behavior. The phrase seems to have appeared first in 1903 in The ABC of Stock Speculation, published by S. A. Nelson as part of Nelson’s Wall Street Library series. (That book, which quotes Dow extensively, also is available to present-day readers.) In 1921, a reader wrote to the Journal to complain that he had followed the Dow Theory but hadn’t made any money. An editorial, presumably written by Hamilton, replied that the Dow Theory was a barometer of market, not a guide to gambling in it. However, the Journal thereafter avoided using the term "Dow Theory" except to repeat the barometer metaphor. Disciples from outside Dow Jones & Co. picked up the Dow Theory banner and carried it forward to the present day, notably Robert Rhea and Richard Russell." John Prestbo

"That his legacy, the industrial average, is the "language" people everywhere use to describe what the US stock market has done, is doing and will do surely would astonish Dow. He probably would be pleased and dismayed in equal measure – proud that his creation still monitors the mighty engine of US economic growth into the Twenty-First Century, but upset that the average’s outward show of statistical precision is used by some to lend credence to their stock-promotion schemes. There’s no evidence in Dow’s market commentary (and he kept no diary nor wrote any letters revealing his private thoughts) that he regarded his average as anything other than a device to assist in probing and dissecting the nature of the market." John Prestbo

PART 3 will introduce the intellectual heirs of Charles Dow, and the incredible contributions they made to build on the work of the great man, Charles Dow.

We must again thank John Prestbo, and the other authors that have provided the historical facts about Charles Dow, and the ‘Dow Theory".

"We are like dwarfs sitting on the shoulders of giants. We see more than they do, indeed even farther; but not because our sight is better than theirs or because we are taller than they. Our sight is enhanced because they raise us up and increase our stature by their enormous height" Bernard of Chartes

Part 3 of THE ‘DOW THEORY" CON! series will present explosive and irrefutable proof that the so-called DOW THEORY was refuted over 80 years ago! Coming soon!

Wayne N. Krautkramer Onlypill@cox.net http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade

Charles Dow never had a Dow Theory! Charles Dow never wrote a book, or a pamphlet. Charles

Dow’s entire collection of market observations appeared as editorials in his publication from the Dow, Jones, & Company.

This series will accumulate the historical evidence from many reliable sources that will prove that the " DOW THEORY" is a con. Our sources include the people who definitely know the history of the Dow Jones numbers, and Charles Dow’s work.

We will present the evidence, and you, the readers (our trusty jury) will determine the verdict. You will find that the time and effort you spend reading this series will be profitable for you! You will also be introduced to a number of brilliant analysts that the modern salesman/broker/financial writer would rather that you never knew about!

Let us begin PART 1 of this series.

Charles Henry Dow was typical of the individuals who created the original financial markets of the US.

Independent of thought, confident of their ability to formulate correct conclusions from their observations of the world, generally from working class families, most being recipients of only a rudimentary education at best, and all seemingly oblivious to their inferior education, status, and lack of advantages. This was the American of the 1850-1920’s!

"Charles Dow was born November 6, 1851, on a farm near Sterling, Connecticut. His father died when he was six, and his mother saw to it that he attended the one-room schoolhouse to gain a basic education. At age 16, he set out on his journalism career, beginning at a weekly newspaper and moving up to dailies in Springfield, Massachusetts, and Providence, Rhode Island. His reporting reflected an interest in history and economics, which attracted the attention of a group of financiers that were interested in the silver rush at Leadville, Colorado, in the late 1870s."

This is origin of the man who did the "key" research for what would later come to be called "The Dow Theory" by unscrupulous stock promoters who wanted to make their sales pitch appear legitimate.

"Thus did "Charlie" Dow become fascinated with business, finance and investment. Not surprisingly, when he headed back east after the mine trip he went to New York rather than returning to Providence. After a stint on the New York Mail and Express, he joined the Kiernan News Agency, which gathered news on Wall Street and distributed it by means of handwritten bulletins on thin paper known as "flimsies," which messenger boys scurried to deliver to clients throughout the day. He persuaded John Kiernan to hire a journalist friend from Providence, Eddie Jones, and before long the two were talking about starting their own news company. They did so in 1882, in large part with the financial help of a frugal Pennsylvania Dutchman named Charles Bergstresser, who also worked at Kiernan. Mr. Bergstresser was content to be a "silent partner" as well as a working journalist at the new Dow, Jones & Company.

While Jones and Bergstresser handled the "hard," breaking news, the professorial Dow began writing analytical pieces that were a new contribution to the Wall Street scene. He had two basic topics, the economy and the market, and he tended to view any other subject such as politics through those prisms. These pieces became more substantive as Dow Jones evolved from a bulletined news service into a newspaper publisher, first of the Customer’s Afternoon Letter in 1883 (basically a compilation of the day’s "flimsies") and then of The Wall Street Journal, beginning in 1889." By John Prestbo

"One further indication of Dow’s intimate familiarity with the Stock Exchange and the financial matters related to it is at least partially evidenced by the fact that for several years he personally was a member of that exclusive institution. The exhaustive research undertaken by Dr. George W. Bishop, Jr., in his effort to uncover every possible shred of information available regarding Charles H. Dow and the "Theory" which bears his name, reveals that, "on Christmas Eve, 1885, Dow became a member of the New York Stock Exchange and remained one until April 30, 1891, when the firm dissolved. Dow is not listed as a partner in the successor firm, Robert L. Goodbody & Company." "by Perry Greiner, 1963

Charles Dow was a keen student of market behavior, and utilized his position as a financial journalist, and floor broker on the NYSE to observe successful traders, and to determine what they did to become winners in a game that most lose.

"After the founding the Dow, Jones, and Company, "the professorial Dow began writing analytical pieces that were a new contribution to the Wall Street scene. He had two basic topics, the economy and the market, and he tended to view any other subject such as politics through those prisms. These pieces became more substantive as Dow Jones evolved from a bulletined news service into a newspaper publisher, first of the Customer’s Afternoon Letter in 1883 (basically a compilation of the day’s "flimsies") and then of The Wall Street Journal, beginning in 1889."

"Dow needed something to represent the stock market in his analytical dissections of the economy and investor behavior. His simple solution was selecting several actively traded stocks and averaging their closing prices from time to time. He first used this device in the Customer’s Afternoon Letter of July 3, 1884, citing the average of eleven stocks, nine of which were railroads. Readers didn’t quarrel with Dow’s methodology, but they complained that he didn’t include enough stocks in his average, grumbling that echoes through the decades to today. Over the next three years he experimented with averages consisting of twenty and then thirty stocks. Then he noticed that however many stocks he was tracking, his averages all portrayed the important advances and declines in the market. The key wasn’t the number of stocks but selecting truly representative ones, which is equally true now."

"Though railroads were the mammoth corporations of the day, and thus dominated Dow’s early averages, he had his eye on a new, budding segment of the market: industrial companies. He observed, as he had in Leadville, the combining of smaller, proprietor-owned and family-run businesses into sizable corporate entities that sooner or later offered shares to public investors. He understood that this trend in time would create an industrial sector big enough to be the primary engine of US economic growth in the fast-approaching Twentieth Century. In the meantime, however, he couldn’t find more than two or three industrial stocks that attracted investor interest of the magnitude the railroads commanded."

We must realize that the railroads were the "market" in the late 1800’s, To talk of the Dow Transports confirming the Dow Industrials would have been absurd, as the Railroads were the market! Charles Dow couldn’t find enough industrials to put in an average! Later the Industrials gained prominence over the Railroads as the economy evolved (changed).

"The probable activity and possible investment value of US Steel will attract new attention to industrial properties," Dow wrote on the eve of adding the new giant’s stock to his industrial average. In time, he prophesized, "trading in railroad stocks will decrease and the industrial market will become the great market in Wall Street"

Charles Dow had already prophesized that trading in the railroad stocks would wane! Charles Dow knew that a company’s significance for inclusion into his average was its contribution to the economic machine!

Imagine Charles Dow’s shock to discover that a hamburger slinger (McDonalds), a big soda fountain franchise (Coke), some retailers, a big movie producer, and a bunch of golf course hustlers (insurance salesmen) are in the Dow Industrial Average. Despite this obvious reality, the Dow Theorists continue to demand confirmation by the Dow Transports.

They might be better off using student loans approved for the Apollo Group (APOL) customers, the new customer bookings at the Corrections Corporation of America (CCA), and the weekly sales at Starbucks, Krispy Kreme and Blockbuster Video. This group must be confirmed by the weekly lap dances produced report, the take at the local casinos, and the weekly Lotto sales report.

The great Charles Dow could foresee a time when the Industrials would supplant the Railroads, but his alleged students can’t see the lap dance in front of their noses! They seem adamant that the Transports must confirm the Industrials for a move to be valid.

We are deeply indebted to John Prestbo for the information about Charles Henry Dow’s history.

Wayne N. Krautkramer onlypill@cox.net http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/id36.html

A recent article written by Doug Casey (The Speculator as a Hero), made many cogent points about market myths.

Doug Casey’s article is the inspiration of this article!

Taking the risk of alienating some readers, I must first invoke the words of a master speculator.

"In the long run .... we are all dead." - John Maynard Keynes.

Keynes brilliant record as an investor is demonstrated by the publicly available data of a fund he managed on behalf of King's College, Cambridge.

"From 1928 to 1945, despite taking a massive hit during the Stock Market Crash of 1929, Keynes' fund produced a very strong average increase of 13.2% compared with the general market in the United Kingdom declining by an average 0.5% per annum.

The approach generally adopted by Keynes with his investments he summarized accordingly:

Keynes argued that "It is a mistake to think one limits one's risks by spreading too much between enterprises about which one knows little and has no reason for special confidence ... One's knowledge and experience are definitely limited and there are seldom more than two or three enterprises at any given time in which I personally feel myself to put full confidence."

"Keynes' advice on speculation, some might say, is timeless:

(Investment is) intolerably boring and over-exacting to any one who is entirely exempt from the gambling instinct; whilst he who has it must pay to this propensity the appropriate toll.

When reviewing an important early work on equities investments, Keynes argued that "Well-managed industrial companies do not, as a rule, distribute to the shareholders the whole of their earned profits. In good years, if not in all years, they retain a part of their profits and put them back in the business. Thus there is an element of compound interest operating in favor of a sound industrial investment."

Therefore, according to the speculator who prospered through the Crash of 1929, there is no long run payoff in economics! A bemusing observation when one looks at Keynes long term track record! Business cycles virtually guarantee that you must lose, given the passage of enough time. Adam Smith talked about the "invisible hand", because Adam Smith understood the Great Wheel of Time. The laws of supply and demand, inter spiced with discontinuities from technological breakthroughs, wars, and natural disasters, virtually guarantee that no one technique can be successfully applied consistently.

We usually assume that governments can mitigate and defeat the changes in economics The politicians, and their mandarins (the bureaucrats and intellectuals), constantly propagandize their citizens with this deception!

All governments have defaulted on their debts (promises and or obligations). There is not one exception in history. It’s merely a question of time, because time guarantees that the politicians will pledge your children’s lives, and economic freedom, to the current greedy mob! They always have, and they always will. This occurs whether the government survives or not. It should be obvious that all governments eventually fail, or we would still be paying taxes to a Roman Emperor.

For those "innocents" who believe that the government has the power of immortality, please remember that Rome was the most powerful empire in history. Where are they now?Empty rhetoric does not impress the Great Wheel of Time! The British Empire’s bluff was called by first called by New England colonies, and later by Gandhi. The last big bad gas bag to pop was the USSR!

The bigger the collective mass, the sooner the funeral will occur. We have all agreed that the majority will must be served, will be your response! Yes, they must be served, but who are they? Certainly not the man in the street! Edward Bernays proved long ago that the majority of the people are just creations of the media. They believe and act just the way they are programmed by the pictures they see, and the words they hear from television, movies, and schools. Edward Bernays singlehandedly created your reality, or your world.

Doug Casey asks the question, "Why haven't any of the great millionaires of the past taken advantage of the simple gimmick of compound interest to eventually take over the world? (If the Indians had invested their $26 for the sale of Manhattan for a 5% compounded return, their money would be worth $2,790,729,193 today). It isn't because they haven't tried, I'm sure. It's because no investment will give you a true 5 percent for even the length of a lifetime. In fact, there's probably nothing that can be relied upon to yield even 3 percent over more than forty or fifty years. You might comment, "What difference does that make? I'm not going to be here that long." But it does make a difference, because it shows the futility of trying to stay ahead in any type of "secure" investment. Everything is a speculation, whether people know it or not; those who settle for a low but "secure" return are penny-wise and pound-foolish in the most profound sense.

When you settle for a "conservative" return, even the slightest miscalculation, bad luck, or government fiat can wipe you out. Taxes will always erode your capital, directly or indirectly. Inflation, for the foreseeable future, is sure to get worse and fluctuate wildly as it does. Banks and insurance companies—the very institutions that have always gotten away with offering low yields because they were so stable—will fail as they always have... especially given the current overvaluation of most U.S. real estate and the underlying loans that are looking increasingly shaky.

The government itself will eventually be replaced and currency will become worthless. And there's no way to truly protect against the risks of war, theft, fraud, and natural disaster. Investing for income—especially in today's climate, when cracks can be seen in the foundations of society itself—is the height of stupidity.

If you invest for income, you're handing over responsibility for your future to others. You don't know what they're doing with your money, you can't know how intelligently they're going to conduct themselves in the future, and you don't even really know how sound their capital position is. That's a bad enough set of fundamentals for a madcap gamble, but in return for a simple yield, it's absurd.

What, then, to do? What is the method to overcome this madness? The only answer I know of is to lay a solid financial foundation, and then gather up your cash and your courage and learn the art of speculation. "

Those seeking to learn more about the tools of sound speculating will find the following site:

http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade

Doug Casey asks the right question, and then gives the correct answer! What is his secret? Doug Casey lives in reality, and he knows better than to believe in the promises of mental defectives. Should you feel that this is too negative an answer, remember that a promise is only as good as the promisor's ability to deliver the goods. Promising to deliver the other guy’s goods to your voters works only as long as the victims tolerate this fraud!

Some will argue that this will go on until there is a bloody revolution. They would be wrong!

The only thing that has to occur is for the productive sector to scale back, and just produce for their own needs. The "surplus" that is being stolen to give to the "voters" automatically disappears, and the voters will then destroy their elected thugs! "Who Is John Galt?" is the speech that gives the solution. This is probably the most powerful rebuttal to the collective maw ever written!

KANGAS: Ok, but the gold stocks have been surging. Does this indicate trouble down the line? And wouldn’t they make good investments, or do you think that that bull market is over for gold?

TEMPLETON: No one ever knows when the market’s over, but the great boom in gold is more than half over. Let’s put it more broadly, Paul, that all currencies – not only the American dollar but all currencies – always go down, mainly because of democracy. The voters will vote for the person who is going to spend too much, and so you have to expect all currencies to go down. And just recently, America has started to spend too much, and the currency has already gone down a lot. But other nations now realize that, and they don’t want to lose out to America, so they let their money go down too.

I’ll bet that Sir Alan Greenspan agrees with Sir John Marks Templeton! Your money and your investments have no positive long run!

For the purposes of this article, we define deceptions as those weapons of mass financial destruction utilized against you by financial marketing. Their high priest, Edward Bernays, developed most of the psychological techniques that Madison Avenue utilizes to condition you. Think of your television as a remote "Skinners Box". Movies, print media, and mandatory public school "conditioning" complete the box. Illusions, appeal to emotion, and Non sequiturs are the tactics that make marketing the bete noire of society!

As a pre-response to those who will allege that I’m overstating my case, I present the actual words of Bernays below:

- Edward L. Bernays, PROPAGANDA

Stocks, bonds, and futures are considered intangibles. Intangibles are an abstraction for most people.

Because there is little or no knowledge of the subject in the potential investor’s background, the dream merchants (Bernaysian wannabes) invoke images of wealth, success, and group approval when selling intangible. You buy this. You get rich. No problem. See your local broker now!

A classic example of financial marketing was the E.F. Hutton commercial of the 1980s.

"Well, my broker is EF Hutton, and EF Hutton says" (silence fills the room)
"When E. F. Hutton talks, people listen."

[Note: The E.F. Hutton brokerage firm is now defunct. The firm pled guilty to several thousand counts of mail and wire fraud in a check-kiting scheme. Read: Sudden Death: The Rise and Fall of E.F. Hutton by Mark Stevens (1989)]

Smith Barney had a great run with the slogan We make money the old fashioned way.
"We earn it" (John Houseman - spokesman).

Just what "we earn it" has to do with doing business with Smith Barney was never explained. One was supposed to assume that doing business with Merrill Lynch was not earning it!

Lest you believe that only the retail public is subjected to this subconscious manipulation, we must go back the Junk Bond debacle of the 1980s, compliments of Michael Milken, and Drexel Burnham Lambert, Inc., the leading purveyor of high yield junk bonds at the time.

"Drexel's 40-year-old senior executive vice president, Michael Milkin, was the undisputed junk bond wizard. A Phi Beta Kappa graduate of Berkeley and the Wharton School of Business, Milkin's personal wealth was estimated to be around $1 billion. He made Drexel the foremost purveyor of junk bonds. Operating out of swank offices on Beverly Hills' Rodeo Drive, and handling as many as 500 phone calls a day at his X-shaped desk, Milkin became a principal target of the SEC's insider-trading probe thanks to Boesky's cooperation with the investigation. In September 1988 the SEC filed a 184-page complaint against Drexel. Manhattan's U.S. District Attorney Rudy Guliani hit Drexel and Milkin with racketeering charges under the 1970 RICO (Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations) statute. On December 21, Drexel pled guilty to six felony counts of mail, wire and securities fraud, paid a $650 million settlement fee, and fired Michael Milkin. The cases against Drexel and its young junk bond king revolved around charges that secret arrangements were made with Boesky and others to defraud Drexel's clients. Two months later, in Wall Street's biggest criminal prosecution ever, 98 indictments of fraud and racketeering were brought against Milkin. On April 14, 1990 Milkin was sentenced to ten years in jail and agreed to pay $600 million in fines."

Long Term Capital Management is one of the more recent debacles that caught the elite money managers! Remember that these money mangers were the creme de la creme of the system, complete with two Nobel laureates (prize winners)! The best and the brighest strike again. Robert Mcnamara and the Whiz Kids gave us Vietnam. LTCM gave us a bond market debacle so devastating that Alan and his merry Band of Federal Reservists came to the rescue, bailing out the entire Western world’s financial system.Alan was later knighted by the Queen of England.Sir Alan Greenspan took his place beside Sir Ronald Reagan, and Sir George Bush Sr. America is being taken over by the Tories.

"The collapse of Britain's Barings Bank in February 1995 is perhaps the quintessential tale of financial risk management gone wrong. The failure was completely unexpected. Over a course of days, the bank went from apparent strength to bankruptcy. Barings was Britain's oldest merchant bank. It had financed the Napoleonic wars, the Louisiana purchase, and the Erie Canal. Barings was the Queen's bank. What really grabbed the world's attention was the fact that the failure was caused by the actions of a single trader based at a small office in Singapore."

Even a seasoned pro like Jim Rogers has found himself entangled in the current debacle at Refco.

All the Kings Horses, and all the Kings men, can’t make another Keynes again!

I must again quote Doug Casey. "If you invest for income, you're handing over responsibility for your future to others. You don't know what they're doing with your money, you can't know how intelligently they're going to conduct themselves in the future, and you don't even really know how sound their capital position is. That's a bad enough set of fundamentals for a madcap gamble, but in return for a simple yield, it's absurd.

New Stock Trend Detector by: Gann, W. D.

A site with articles to assist you in your quest for financial freedom can be found at:http://onlypill.tripod.com/toolsofthetrade/

Articles discussing the facts that the brokers and the media hide from you can be found at http://onlypill.tripod.com/factsthebrokersandfinancialreporterswonttellyou/

Enjoy the reading, and Good Hunting when you have learned. So many sheep, so few wolves!

"Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway." by Warren Buffett

http://onlypill.tripod.com/factsthebrokersandfinancialreporterswonttellyou/

We are in a perpetual War. We must understand what war is to be effective in dealing with our adversary’s strategy. War is the battle for power, or dominance. This is nature’s directive to ensure the survival of the species. It’s as natural as life and death, and it’s an inescapable fact of life.

We are a social species! This means that the real war is fought on the intellectual, and the social level. Ideas, or concepts, is the way we make war. Every word has a denotation, and a connotation.

Those who teach you the denotation of a word control the symbol (picture) that you see in your mind when that word is used. The connotation of a word is the emotional meaning attributed to a word (good, bad, nice, mean). When someone controls the pictures you associate with a word, they control your mind! This is where the real battle is fought to control the Homo Sapiens!

You might ask, what does a word really mean?

"When I use a word it means exactly what I want it to mean, nothing more and nothing less."

If we would learn the true nature of war, we will stop reacting to our adversary’s wiles. We have wasted our precious resources in foolish skirmishes, which have ending badly. The Korean and Vietnam conflicts should have taught us to avoid unwinnable wars. However, the next generation only knows its conditioning. They have no real experience with which they might challenge the foolishness of the Wizard of Oz., the fantasy of his favorite stepchild, Disneyland, or the programming from the public school system! The victims of the media, and the school systems, are just conditioned organisms. The products of the system will react in a predictable way to the words (symbols) that are invoked! This is the perpetual war.

Hostilities only commence as the almost vanquished nation strikes out in agony (a mass psychotic event). Competent people would never let events go this far. The objective of free people is to avoid all entanglements with nations, and cultures, that are freedom phobic. Freedom phobic is defined here as those who are collectivist by heritage, or instinct. Most of the world adheres to a collectivist ethic The reality is that all these cultures, and nations, are the natural enemies of freedom.

This is the real arena for war. Democratic societies are forever embroiled in social conflict, as the various special interest groups seek to achieve the "moral high ground". Morality is relative in the social arena, because the majority of the electorate lack the training, experience, or instincts to evaluate the merits of an idea.

True morality (survival value) is the minimum requirement for a society’s survival. Without knowledge of the survival requirements, the voters will follow their emotions! "If it feels good, what’s wrong with it?"

Any legislation not based on true morality (survival value) will lead that society into extinction. The classical republics only allowed property owners to vote. The founders of the great republics knew that only people with a strong connection to the republic could be entrusted with the power of the vote. Military service was always mandatory for citizens to prevent intellectual dilettantes from voting for conflicts that might weaken that nation. Intellectuals are proficient at sending the other man (Alpha man) into a conflict, while these personal pacifists (Omega man) always seem to have an exemption from combat!

We must remember that deceits and treacheries are the primary weapons of war. Illusions, propaganda, and fraud will always be employed against the free state. The more freer the nation, the more often these tactics will be used against that nation.

Propaganda to enlarge the voting franchise has always been a tactic employed by the adversaries of a free nation. Propaganda is the tactic that conditions a society to eventually vote itself into extinction! The adversary uses different words that sound more noble to describe each "new social improvement". All new propaganda is nonsense to the current generation of voters. Then the years of Pavlovian, and Skinnerian conditioning by the public schools, and the media do their job. The system virtually guarantees that the next generation of voters will believe that the old "absurd" propaganda is "mother’s milk".

If you think that this is just a coincidence, read II -- PROLETARIANS AND COMMUNISTS, Communist Manifesto, 1848, Karl Marx

10. Free education for all children in public schools.

The alien’s strategy is to plant the seeds of extinction into your nation, nurture them through the taxpayer financed public schools, and the media, and then harvest the crop by invoking the programmed keywords. This ensures the outcome of their collectivist vision, as the logic pathways of the electorate have been neutralized, or electronically lobotomized. Hence, no rational dialogue will interfere with the outcome. Your adversaries have been busy, creating the new superstitions that will govern our nation when the new generation comes to power! The brilliance of this tactic is that you finance the institutions that program your children to destroy your culture, and your economy.

"Rituals are superstitions; they are adventitiously reinforced. The more conspicuous and stereotyped the behavior upon which the reinforcer is accidentally contingent, the greater the effect." -- Skinner, B. F. (1980), Notebooks, 303-304.

The military conflicts are just part of the diversion. If the targeted country goes for the bait, it will dispatch its most masculine men to go to slaughter. They will be destroyed in a conflict that has been designed to fail. This is easily achieved by defining the terms of engagement (combat rules) so as to guarantee failure. The real purpose of the exercise is to kill, or cripple, as many of our alpha males as is politically acceptable. This reduces the number of alpha males, and leaves the omega (passive) males as the only check against the emoting nature of the female. This war of attrition against the alpha males gradually removes a nation’s ability to act independently of other nation’s opinions, because self sovereignty is a patriarchal trait.

The rise of the matriarchy is guaranteed over time. The gradual change of values that occurs as the nation moves from a patriarchy to a matriarchy ensures that more socialist programs are demanded by the voters. With the creation of each new generation, more wars are started to liquidate the new alpha males, but all of the women remain. This further skews the voting pattern by increasing the percentage of female voters versus male voters. A good war can really decimate the alpha male population.

The joke is that the legislators have become totally captive to the wants of a militant welfare society, although the euphemism "entitlement "appears to conceal the obvious. There is nothing more frightening to a politician than having to work for a living. By the time a nation has devolved to this condition, the politicians are nothing but overpriced hamburger flippers.

The other result is the slow, but relentless disarmament of the population by the government. The men who know how to use weapons are slowly slaughtered, or crippled, by wars. Because ego is a constant in human nature, many of the males who copped out from combat rationalize their decision by embracing a non-aggressive, anti-gun, psychological posture. Everyone is a victim in a non- judgmental society! Psychopaths, and sociopaths, are miraculously transmuted into good children doing bad things. This attitude becomes inoculated into the society at large as right thinking! This attitude then becomes promoted by the media, and the public schools, as enlightenment!

The other subtle effect of these military conflicts is to convince the population that fighting is futile. They now actually believe that conflicts are unwinnable. It is a just a cleaver version of "Better Red Than Dead".

This is the second stage of the destruction of a nation. The objective of war is to destroy your opponent’s ability to make war. The economic war gradually reduces a nation into a state of poverty. Once this is accomplished, even the will to prevail is just another delusion. The nation will be reduced to guerilla warfare, as the street gangs take control of the inner cities. You thought they were just friendly drug dealers, providing "Mother’s Little Helper"! They rule you through your needs, so you can’t control their deeds.!

You’re so proud of your strategic nuclear and biological weapons! It’s a damn shame that you can’t use these weapons on the drug dealers, and the street gangs, because your connection is in your neighborhood. You are in total delusion, as your nation is already bankrupt, demoralized, and probably nearing a state of civil war at this time. Live with it! Your nation is already dysfunctional. Your real enemy is as near as your mirror. Therefore, you have already lost!

The nation is first bankrupted by insane social policies financed by debt to hide the real costs. Soon the number of people on the government payrolls, and the number of the entitlement recipients, outnumber the wealth producers. The government must now depreciate its currency at ever faster rates. This is mandatory to avoid the obvious confiscatory taxes that would be implemented otherwise. Many wealth producers would balk at 90 to 95 percent tax rates.

The government also uses its reputation to issue massive amounts of debt. The rule that it takes 10 years to make a reputation, and 20 years to lose it applies here. The government knows that it will be given the benefit of the doubt long past the point of insanity. It also knows the golden rule of debt. When you owe someone enough money, the lenders have really made an equity investment in you, instead of a loan. Who wants to walk away from megalosses? This automatically gains the government more time. There is also the fallacy that big countries can’t fail.

The government now begins creating military adventures to transfer money to their contributors from the defense contractor industry. This spends up the process of looting the host nation, and allows more money to be stuffed into their offshore banks. More control of the media is justified by the "crisis", which slows down the speed at which the information circulates! This gains more time for the government to plunder the treasury prior to the citizen’s response.

Just the principle of paying women to have children guarantees that the nation will be overrun with non-producers with a militant attitude. "You owe us our entitlements because we voted for you" is the battle hymn of the majority of the voters." The political system has turned into a circus by this time, in a desperate attempt to avoid a civil war. The pressure on the politicians is enormous to give an ever increasing amount of money, and services to an ever more militant nation of parasites.

Lest you think that I’m overstating the argument, you will find it instructive to learn that prison inmates have been receiving federal tax refunds while incarcerated. No, I’m not making this up! Prison inmates have been receiving tax refunds for taxes paid while employed. The problem is that these prisoners are incarcerated, and could not have been employed. Yet the IRS has been sending them checks.

The current spectacle of reparations being paid to various groups because of some past injustice is more of the absurdity of the entitlement culture. The people who committed these acts are long gone. Let’s steal more wealth from the living to mollify the leeches! We can always issue more bonds that are worthless. We can’t really feel sorry for the idiots who are buying these bonds. The Keynesians told us that we never have to repay the debt! "What, Me Worry?"

Abraham Lincoln paved the way to total collectivism by destroying the Republic. State Right’s were the most critical check on the natural rapaciousness of a centralized government. The end of States Rights effectively canceled the Constitution, if not de jure, then certainly de facto. The post Civil War era witnessed the parasites flocking to Washington.

The Republican President, Ulysses S. Grant, signed the Pendelton Act in 1883.

BACKGROUNDER ON THE PENDLETON ACT

"The federal bureaucracy in the years after the Civil War was generally undistinguished, because the system of selecting officials and supervising their work was irrational. That system had evolved in the early nineteenth century, and relied on the well-known political adage, "to the victor belong the spoils." That did not necessarily mean that bad people were appointed; many government officials were quite good, but the system itself was ill-suited to efficiency."

"The idea of rotation in office, however, was thought to be "democratic." Andrew Jackson in 1829 had declared: "No man has any more intrinsic right to official station than another. The duties of all public officers are, or at least admit of being made, so plain and simple that men of intelligence may readily qualify themselves for their performance." This had not been true in 1829, and was certainly not true fifty years later. The constant turnover provided no institutional memory; government workers panicked at every election and had little sense of loyalty to their jobs, because their tenure was often of such short duration. As Henry Clay put it, government officials after an election are "like the inhabitants of Cairo when the plague breaks out; no one knows who is next to encounter the stroke of death.""

"Over the years, the flaws became more serious and obvious. Political leaders required their patronage appointees to devote time and money to party affairs. After each election, winners were besieged by hungry office-seekers, and wrangling between the president and Congress over patronage became endemic. By the 1880s, one could open a Washington newspaper after an election and find many advertisements like this one:

"WANTED -- A GOVERNMENT CLERKSHIP at a salary of not less than $1,000 per annum. Will give $100 to any one securing me such a position.""

"The situation was compounded by the growth of the federal bureaucracy. In Jackson’s time there had been 20,000 persons on the federal payroll. By end of the Civil War the number had increased to 53,000; by 1884, 131,000; and by 1891, 166,000. Presidents were hounded by office- seekers. When James Garfield became president he discovered hungry office-seekers "lying in wait" for him "like vultures for a wounded bison."

Moreover, new government jobs required special skills. The use of typewriters, introduced in the early 1880s, meant that mere literacy and decent penmanship were no longer enough for a clerk’s job. With the creation of administrative agencies like the Interstate Commerce Commission and specialized agricultural bureaus, one needed scientific expertise. The spoils system was not the way to get them.

A civil service movement started in New York in 1877, and although it developed considerable public support, the politicians refused to go along. Then came the assassination of President Garfield by Charles Guiteau, a disappointed office-seeker, and the public clamor could no longer be ignored.

The Pendleton Act classified certain jobs, removed them from the patronage ranks, and set up a Civil Service Commission to administer a system based on merit rather than political connections. As the classified list was expanded over the years, it provided the American people with a competent and permanent government bureaucracy. In 1883 fewer than 15,000 jobs were classified; by the time McKinley became president in 1897, 86,000 -- almost half of all federal employees -- were in classified positions. Today, with the exception of a few thousand policy-level appointments, nearly all federal jobs are handled within the civil service system."

For further reading: Ari Hoogenboom, Outlawing the Spoils: A History of the Civil Serivce Reform Movement, 1865-1883 (1961); Paul P. Van Riper, Hstory of the United States Civil Service (1958).

Time has revealed the strategy that the alien’s have utilized against us. The establishment of the Civil Service was the first step in turning the US into a nation of slaves. We now had an "elite " group of parasites who are tenured, and who receive a lifetime dole from the taxpayers. The Civil Service’s loyalty is to the intellectuals who direct their efforts into the establishment of a collectivist utopia. Even the politicians can not fire a Civil Servant. Civil Servants are not elected, and are not subject to the voter’s will. They are the "real" government!

The danger of the election of a president, and legislature, with a real pro taxpayer agenda, has already been defeated. The Civil Service will just ignore the new occupants of the Executive Branch, and the Legislature. The Civil Service system guarantees that the bureaucracy will continue on, just as their collectivist masters have programmed them! They are sovereign, and can never be terminated unless they murder someone! This tactic ensures that there will never be an interruption of the collectivist agenda. Their real motto is "So many people to enslave, so little time in power!"

The very concept Civil Servant was the beginning of Orwellian doublespeak. The irony was that George Orwell wasn’t born yet.

Eric Blair was born in India in 1903. Educated in England at Eton, he moved to Burma in 1922 where he joined the Indian Imperial Police for five years. He eventually resigned because of his increasing disillusionment with British imperialism.

After the establishment of the Civil Service, the collectivist’s moved to increase the voting franchise. Women were given the right to vote (1920) only after the collectivist’s had achieved control of the government bureaucracies.

Woodrow Wilson (a past president of Princeton University) was the next key Collectivist. His presidency was bought so that he could create the Federal Reserve Bank, the Income Tax, and the Selective Service Act of 1917. He also brought us into World War I.

The US entered WW1 to assure the elimination of many Alpha males, and to start the conditioning process to bring the US citizens into their new role as state slaves.

The final destruction of liberty occurred under Franklin Delano Roosevelt. Most of his Marxist ideas were initially struck down by the Supreme Court. He proceeded to alter the legal environment. FDR knew that his threat to stack the Supreme Court with his collectivist coterie would bring the Supreme Court into total compliance with his wishes. FDR made the correct assumption! He bet that these parasites would do anything to stay on the federal dole! The irony of the Supreme Court’s capitulation to FDR, is that FDR later managed to pick eight more Supreme Court judges. His time as president was so long (four terms) that he appointed nine judges! FDR delivered the coup de grace to free speech when he forced the Supreme Court to give the ownership of the airwaves to the government in 1934.

It’s probably just a coincidence that government control of all communication is number 6 in II -- PROLETARIANS AND COMMUNISTS, Communist Manifesto, 1848, Karl Marx

Federal judges, including Supreme Court justices, have what amounts to lifetime tenure and a guaranteed salary. Although justices can theoretically be removed from office by impeachment, none ever has been removed The last time Congress attempted to pull this off was two centuries ago. The attempt failed, in the process proving the point that little short of criminal behavior could result in judicial removal. Political views —especially personal judicial views— are plainly off limits to those who might wish to impeach a hostile jurist. Congress can overturn Supreme Court decisions only by means of the cumbersome process of constitutional amendment. Such efforts have succeeded exactly four times in the history of the republic. In each instance, it was the Supreme Court that determined the meaning and application of the amendment. Catch 22 strikes again!

This reality ensures that no incoming President could get rid of these collectivists without the majority support of the Congress. Thus, we began the new world under an activist court. This was another brilliant move by the collectivists. The Hive’s media, and its public schools, praise the concept of an activist court to their listeners (victims)! According to the Constitution, only the Congress can create a law. The Supreme Court’s only constitutionally granted power is to determine whether a law is constitutional or not! The Court has no legal right to order anything, except lunch.

The media collectivists are continually creating new more stories to feed the folk. These people are professionals at creating stories. Rewriting all those history books has given them a lot of practice They can count on the support of the public schools to preach the" new" and "improved" history with great enthusiasm. By the time the WW1 was over, there was no point to reading history books. "History is more or less bunk." Henry Ford, May 25th, 1916

The irony is that the Hive’s reforms (always new and improved) claimed that Civil Service would prevent money from being stolen from the government. Now we see the spectacle of the government looters diverting all this money to their friends, while voting themselves huge salaries, and benefit packages. The comic part of this is realizing that these bureaucrats, and politicians, are deluded enough to believe that the wealth creating sector can, or will, continue to pay for this giant theft machine. It’s amazing that so many government workers have dual passports, and are citizens of a nation that refuses to extradite their citizens to any other country to face trial. I believe that we have a big conflict of interest here!

We have to admit that the government workers, and the politicians, are just plundering before the end. They know that the cupboard is getting a little bare! The voters appear to be indifferent to the rampant theft, as long as they get their entitlements. Election after election has shown that taxing the productive, and spending on pork for the folk, is the winning combination in politics. This allows the politicians to avoid the effort of personally creating wealth. Politicians generally abhor the stress of working, and would rather steal the wealth of others via taxes. They give the looted money to their constituencies, less a large service and handling charge!

2. A heavy progressive or graduated income tax. II -- PROLETARIANS AND COMMUNISTS, Communist Manifesto, 1848, Karl Marx

On the 23 of June, 2005, the Supreme Court of the United States of America ruled against the last illusion of property rights. This latest incroachment upon our constitutional guarantees opens the door for complete confiscation by the government. The government will become more predatory as their need for money continues to accelerate. Gone are the days when they slowly sucked you dry through property taxes. Now they take your property even if you have paid the taxes! They have shown their hand, and have already begun to grab your land!

1. Abolition of property in land and application of all rents of land to public purposes. II -- PROLETARIANS AND COMMUNISTS, Communist Manifesto, 1848, Karl Marx

"In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way."
Franklin D. Roosevelt

Why are we suprised that so many companies, and talented people, are fleeing this vampire nation?These valuable resources are voting with their feet. The best would rather start anew, where they have found a saner society. The ultimate irony is watching the US compete with Sweden in the race to economic oblivion! We will win the Economic Doomsday Cup, even if it means destroying ourselves!

"Vampirism as the ultimate form of communism, in which blood is redistributed from producers to parasites." Thomas M. Sipos, Vampire Nation.

You know that it’s a vampire nation when the Hive demands Dignity with their Dole!